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Ethereum just outpaced Bitcoin with $365 million in ETF inflows, but on-chain data shows the real bottom isn’t in yet

August 2, 2026
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Ethereum outpaced Bitcoin in July as stronger investment-product demand and company accumulation powered its first sustained relative advance in months.

Knowledge from CryptoSlate reveals that ETH gained 19% throughout the month, climbing as excessive as $1,970 earlier than retreating to $1,868 as of press time. Bitcoin rose 8% over the identical interval however repeatedly failed to interrupt the $65,000 degree.

The divergence pushed the ETH/BTC ratio above 0.030 for the primary time in three months earlier than it eased to 0.02962. The pair has risen greater than 10% over the previous month, reflecting Ethereum’s widening efficiency benefit.

ETH/BTC Ratio (Supply: TradingView)

The rebound has strengthened expectations that capital is rotating again towards Ethereum after virtually a yr of underperformance.

Nevertheless, on-chain indicators stay much less conclusive, with a number of measures nonetheless wanting the degrees that accompanied earlier reversals towards Bitcoin.

ETH ETF flows and treasury shopping for reinforce the transfer

Ethereum’s July advance unfold past spot markets as regulated funds attracted recent capital and derivatives merchants started rebuilding publicity.

US spot Ethereum ETFs recorded $365.17 million in internet inflows throughout the month, their strongest efficiency this yr, SoSoValue information confirmed. As compared, Bitcoin ETFs drew $172.43 million over the identical interval, their weakest month-to-month complete since launching in January 2024.

Ethereum and Bitcoin ETF Flows in 2026
Ethereum and Bitcoin ETF Flows in 2026 (Supply: SoSoValue)

This influx marked a major turnaround for ETH-focused merchandise, which had recorded greater than $1 billion in outflows over the previous two months.

Ethereum’s sturdy efficiency was bolstered by the launch of the Morgan Stanley Ethereum Belief, which trades below the ticker MSSE and has accrued about $20 million in property throughout its first days of buying and selling.

Whereas the whole stays small in contrast with established ETH ETFs, Morgan Stanley’s distribution community provides the product entry to a big pool of advisers and wealth-management shoppers. The agency has roughly 16,000 monetary advisers overseeing about $7 trillion in consumer property.

That attain might assist MSSE draw traders who’ve had restricted publicity to crypto-focused asset managers, whereas its low 0.14% payment will increase competitors amongst current ETH merchandise.

In the meantime, company treasury demand moved in the identical route.

BitMine, the most important company holder of Ether, elevated its holdings throughout every week of July, although its tempo of accumulation slowed. Its steadiness rose from about 5.70 million ETH on the finish of June to five.79 million ETH as of July 26.

Technique, the most important company holder of Bitcoin, made no purchases throughout the month. As a substitute, the Michael Saylor-led firm targeted on rising its money reserves and supporting its most popular securities after serving as a recurring supply of Bitcoin demand earlier within the yr.

The divergence left Ethereum with continued company accumulation alongside stronger ETF inflows, whereas Bitcoin’s largest treasury purchaser made no new purchases.

Valuation metrics sign July’s rally lacks historic bottoming signatures

Whereas July injected much-needed momentum into Ethereum, the asset has not but triggered the structural alerts that traditionally preceded a sturdy cycle reversal towards Bitcoin.

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Knowledge from TradingView reveals that the ETH/BTC ratio stays 13% decrease this yr and about 73% under a 2017 excessive of 0.11.

Because of this its stabilization close to 0.02963 has halted the decline from a multiyear low of roughly 0.028, however has achieved little to restore Ethereum’s broader lack of worth relative to Bitcoin.

That distance from earlier highs reveals the size of Ethereum’s underperformance, although value alone can not set up whether or not the decline has run its course. CryptoQuant’s valuation and exchange-flow indicators provide a clearer take a look at by evaluating present circumstances with these recorded earlier than earlier ETH/BTC reversals.

The ETH/BTC market-value-to-realized-value ratio has fallen to 0.65 from 0.95 in August 2025, exhibiting that a lot of the premium that preceded Ethereum’s decline has dissipated.

Earlier structural bottoms, together with these recorded in 2019 and early 2025, emerged solely after the measure dropped under 0.45.

ETH/BTC MVRV Ratio
ETH/BTC MVRV Ratio (Supply: CryptoQuant)

Ethereum has due to this fact moved away from the overvaluation that marked final yr’s peak with out reaching the deeper compression related to earlier turning factors.

Change flows present the identical incomplete adjustment. The ratio of ETH to Bitcoin deposits on buying and selling platforms has fallen from above 1.5 final August to about 0.8, indicating that relative promoting strain has eased sharply.

Earlier ETH/BTC reversals fashioned when the ratio approached 0.4. The present studying means that the heaviest distribution has subsided, whereas promoting exercise stays above the degrees seen when earlier declines reached exhaustion.

For July’s momentum to develop right into a broader reversal, ETH/BTC would wish to ascertain assist above 0.030 whereas valuation and alternate flows proceed transferring towards their historic bottoming ranges.

Till then, the info factors to a restoration from depressed ranges quite than a confirmed cyclical flooring towards Bitcoin.



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