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Bear market confirmed? This analyst says yes

March 19, 2025
in Blockchain
Reading Time: 5 mins read
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Plus: Brazil needs to pay employees in crypto

GM. Crypto’s like a ripe guava – in case you wait too lengthy, it turns into mush, however in case you chunk in too early, it’s all laborious and bitter. One option to discover out, proper?

🇧🇷 Brazilians may obtain their salaries in crypto.

🍋 Information drops: LIBRA drama is heating up, the Solana advert individuals hated + extra

🍍 Market taste at the moment

These previous few weeks, crypto’s been proving why cry is correct there within the title.

Bitcoin’s down 24% from its all-time excessive of $109K reached in January. And whereas dips like this aren’t uncommon in bull markets, Bitfinex analysts mentioned that this one’s completely different.

Usually, Bitcoin doesn’t keep down for lengthy, because of sturdy institutional shopping for. However this time, demand’s trying fairly weak – simply check out Bitcoin ETFs, which had nearly $1B in outflows final week.

It will get worse, don’t fret.

Brief-term holders are sitting on losses, which implies many are panic-selling and pushing costs down even additional.

If no new patrons step in to purchase the dip, Bitcoin may both drag sideways for some time or drop decrease as weak palms get shaken out.

Now, the excellent news? There are giant patrons:

Bitcoin ETFs are recovering – after final week’s catastrophe, that they had $274.6M in inflows yesterday;

Michael Saylor’s Technique purchased one other 130 BTC. It’s their smallest purchase ever, however hey, nonetheless one thing;

Metaplanet, aka the Technique of Japan (aspect word: I hate that it is now not MicroStrategy – phrases like this sound hella complicated now), is elevating about $13M to purchase extra BTC;

New Bitcoin whales collected over 200K BTC simply this month.

However… is it sufficient?

CryptoQuant CEO Ki Younger Ju isn’t satisfied. He warned that liquidity is drying up, and a few whales are offloading BTC at decrease costs.

Matter of reality, he mentioned that each main on-chain metric is signaling a bear market 🙃

If issues hold heading this fashion, we could be caught in 6–12 months of sideways or bearish worth motion earlier than any actual restoration.

And US macroeconomic components aren’t serving to a lot both.

Retail gross sales grew 0.2% in February, under the anticipated 0.6%.

If buyers take this as an indication of a slowing financial system, we may see even weaker liquidity and threat urge for food, which is… not so bullish for crypto.

However there’s a wildcard: the Fed. In the event that they take a look at these numbers and determine it’s time to ease rates of interest, crypto may catch a break.

Tomorrow’s FOMC assembly ought to give us some clues. Fingers crossed, y’all.

Divider

🥝 Memecoin harvest

Memecoins which might be pumping more durable than my caffeine dependancy ☕️

Knowledge as of 07:50 AM EST.

Try these memecoins and lots extra right here.

Divider

The explanation why Brazil is goated:

Rio Carnival;

Brazilian funk;

Pelé;

This:

Federal deputy Luiz Philippe de Orleans e Bragança launched a invoice that may let employees in Brazil obtain a part of their salaries in crypto.

Me becoming Brazil man

After all, there are a couple of situations to maintain issues in examine:

A minimum of 50% of your wage have to be paid in Brazilian actual (BRL);

Freelancers and impartial contractors may go full degen and receives a commission completely in crypto if their contracts enable it;

The trade charge have to be set by a monetary establishment licensed by Brazil’s Central Financial institution. So no, your employer can’t pay you in “low cost Bitcoin” they discovered within the backrooms.

Why would they need this? Properly, Brazil is already a rising crypto hub, and this might entice much more funding, startups, fintech innovation, and firms transferring in.

And if this passes, it could possibly be a game-changer for crypto adoption, too.

Extra employees getting paid in crypto = extra companies accepting crypto = snowball impact;

If it really works, different nations may observe go well with.

Now, right here’s the place it will get even juicier: if extra employees begin receiving BTC as a part of their salaries, demand naturally will increase.

Not like crypto merchants who purchase and promote primarily based on market swings, salaried employees receives a commission commonly – that means a constant, predictable stream of cash into BTC.

And if even a fraction of Brazil’s workforce begins holding their wage in crypto as a substitute of cashing out instantly, that’s a gradual supply of purchase stress.

So yeah, in case you see us sipping caipirinhas on a seaside in Brazil quickly… thoughts your small business 🍹

Now you are within the know. However take into consideration your pals – they in all probability do not know. I’m wondering who may repair that… 😃🫵

Unfold the phrase and be the hero you already know you might be!

Divider

🍋 Information drops

⚖️ The LIBRA drama is heading to the Supreme Courtroom of New York. A brand new lawsuit claims its creators misled buyers and drained over $100M from one-sided liquidity swimming pools.

✊ Solana eliminated an advert from X after going through backlash. The video featured “America” in remedy, getting advised to deal with pronouns as a substitute of innovation. The takeaway: performative activism is all the time cringe no matter political ideology.

🤨 Elon Musk claims he’s discovered a minimum of 14 authorities cash printers operating on autopilot. Businesses like Treasury and Protection are apparently sending cash with out clear oversight.

⚠️ A brand new malware is stealing crypto from Chrome pockets extensions. It scans your system, takes login particulars, and checks your clipboard for passwords and personal keys. Principally, in case you copy-paste your seed phrase, take into account it gone.

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🍌 Juicy memes



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Tags: AnalystBearConfirmedMarket
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