Bitcoin Faces FOMC Test as Past Meetings Trigger Sharp Selloffs

Bitcoin stays rangebound under $90,000, hovering close to one-month lows, as buyers stay cautious forward of the Federal Reserve’s coverage assembly.

Market focus has shifted to the Federal Reserve’s two-day assembly, which concludes on Wednesday, with policymakers anticipated to maintain rates of interest unchanged.

Whereas a pause is essentially priced in, merchants are trying intently on the Fed’s assertion and Chair Jerome Powell’s press convention for clues on the timing of potential charge cuts and the central financial institution’s inflation outlook.

Any shift in Powell’s tone might affect broader threat sentiment and liquidity.

How Bitcoin ($BTC) Is Prone to React to the FOMC Assembly: Classes From Previous Cycles

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) performs a vital function in shaping world monetary markets by setting U.S. financial coverage.

With eight scheduled conferences annually, its selections on rates of interest instantly affect liquidity, threat urge for food, and capital flows throughout belongings, together with Bitcoin.

As markets look forward to the conclusion of the primary FOMC assembly on Wednesday, expectations for a January charge minimize stay extraordinarily low at simply 2.8%. This implies that financial easing is unlikely within the close to time period, conserving monetary situations comparatively tight.

Historic knowledge from 2025 affords vital context for a way Bitcoin tends to react round these occasions. Out of eight FOMC conferences, Bitcoin’s value declined after seven, with just one producing a short-lived rally.

The drawdowns have been usually sharp, starting from –6% to –29%, whereas BTC solely rallied in Might, with a +15% transfer earlier than momentum light.

HOW BITCOIN $BTC WILL REACT TO FOMC MEETING, LAST TIME IT DROPPED BY -9%

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is liable for setting US financial coverage, assembly eight occasions a yr to resolve rates of interest that form liquidity situations throughout world markets.

Wanting… pic.twitter.com/YBVr0fBXxn

— Ali Charts (@alicharts) January 27, 2026

A key takeaway from the historic knowledge is that FOMC weeks have persistently introduced heightened volatility and a threat of a BTC value drop. Whereas markets usually rally forward of conferences on hopes of dovish indicators, the post-announcement response has leaned bearish generally.

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