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Bitcoin Bear Cycle Not Confirmed Unless $94K Is Lost – CryptoQuant CEO Explains

November 15, 2025
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Bitcoin has dropped under the $100,000 mark for the primary time since Could, igniting renewed nervousness throughout the crypto market. The flagship cryptocurrency is at present buying and selling close to $97,000, with merchants and traders going through rising uncertainty amid persistent promoting strain and waning momentum. Concern ranges have surged as many market members start to query whether or not this breakdown marks the beginning of a brand new bear market part or just a deeper correction inside the ongoing cycle.

Some analysts warn that the current lack of key psychological assist may set off additional draw back if patrons fail to defend decrease ranges. Historic patterns present that after BTC breaks under main spherical numbers, volatility tends to speed up earlier than discovering a steady base.

Nevertheless, others stay cautiously optimistic. Ki Younger Ju, CEO of CryptoQuant, famous that it’s nonetheless too early to substantiate a full-scale bear market. He argues that on-chain information — together with trade flows, miner conduct, and long-term holder exercise — doesn’t but replicate the type of structural weak point sometimes seen throughout cycle tops. As a substitute, he means that the market could also be getting into a chronic consolidation part, the place volatility cools earlier than Bitcoin prepares for its subsequent directional transfer.

$94K Turns into the Line within the Sand for Bitcoin’s Bull Case

In response to Ki Younger Ju, CEO of CryptoQuant, the important thing degree that would decide Bitcoin’s subsequent main pattern lies round $94,000. On-chain information exhibits that traders who entered the market between six to 12 months in the past have a mean price foundation close to this degree, which means it represents a vital psychological and structural assist zone.

Bitcoin Realized Price UTXO Age Bands | Source: Ki Young Ju
Bitcoin Realized Worth UTXO Age Bands | Supply: Ki Younger Ju

Ju explains that whereas Bitcoin’s drop under $100,000 has triggered widespread concern, the market hasn’t but confirmed a full-blown bear cycle. He notes that value motion would wish to maintain a breakdown under $94,000 earlier than signaling a major shift in sentiment and long-term pattern construction. “Personally, I don’t assume the bear cycle is confirmed until we lose that degree,” Ju stated, emphasizing the significance of persistence amid heightened volatility.

He provides that overreacting to short-term fluctuations typically results in poor decision-making in periods of market stress. For now, the most effective plan of action could also be to attend slightly than bounce to conclusions. If $94,000 holds as assist, it may function the inspiration for a possible restoration. Conversely, a decisive breakdown under that threshold would mark a transparent warning signal that the bull part has probably ended.

Bitcoin Drops Under $100K, Testing Lengthy-Time period Assist Ranges

Bitcoin’s weekly chart paints a regarding image because the cryptocurrency trades round $96,900, marking its first sustained transfer under the $100,000 degree since Could. The breakdown represents a 7.4% decline over the past week, with promoting quantity rising considerably — a transparent signal that market members are de-risking amid concern and uncertainty.

BTC testing key demand level | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
BTC testing key demand degree | Supply: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

Probably the most notable function on the chart is Bitcoin’s take a look at of the 50-week transferring common (blue line), which at present sits close to $95,000. Traditionally, this degree has acted as a key assist zone throughout mid-cycle corrections, serving to to stabilize value earlier than main recoveries. A confirmed weekly shut under this transferring common, nevertheless, may shift momentum firmly in favor of the bears, opening the door for a possible retest of the $88,000–$90,000 area close to the 100-week MA (inexperienced line).

Regardless of the bearish tone, there’s additionally proof of potential accumulation. Quantity spikes throughout declines typically point out that bigger gamers are stepping in to soak up promoting strain. If Bitcoin can maintain above $95,000 and reclaim $100,000 within the coming weeks, it may type a stable base for restoration. Conversely, failure to defend this space would reinforce the narrative that the market is getting into a deeper correction part.

Featured picture from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

Editorial Course of for bitcoinist is centered on delivering completely researched, correct, and unbiased content material. We uphold strict sourcing requirements, and every web page undergoes diligent evaluation by our workforce of high know-how specialists and seasoned editors. This course of ensures the integrity, relevance, and worth of our content material for our readers.



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Tags: 94KBearBitcoinCEOConfirmedCryptoQuantCycleExplainsLost
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