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Will Bitcoin Perform Better In September Compared To August? Here’s What The Data Says

August 23, 2024
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With every month, the Bitcoin efficiency can fluctuate extensively relying on how traders are feeling towards the market. Years of month-to-month return information obtainable for the cryptocurrency have led to traders and analysts making an attempt to pinpoint the cryptocurrency’s subsequent transfer primarily based on historic efficiency. Because the month of August attracts to a detailed, Bitcoin traders are already trying towards September in hopes that the brand new month will include higher tidings.

Bitcoin Seems To Finish August On A Unfavorable Notice

Regardless of beginning out on a excessive observe, the Bitcoin worth noticed a number of crashes in August because the month drew out additional. The primary week of the month got here with a 30% crash for the BTC worth, which translated to a market-wide crash that noticed altcoins undergo notably.

Associated Studying

Since then, there was a restoration within the Bitcoin worth however it’s removed from its start line. This worth decline signifies that the month of August has adopted the pattern of the final two years, popping out within the purple. To date, in line with information from Coinglass, the Bitcoin worth worth is down 6.03% within the month of August, on the time of writing.

The efficiency this month just isn’t precisely out of the atypical because the Bitcoin worth has had extra purple months than inexperienced months since its inception. The information begins in 2013, and it offers 12 years of month-to-month returns since then. Out of these 12 years, the BTC worth has closed in inexperienced in 8 totally different years, leaving solely 4 inexperienced August closes for the cryptocurrency.

Supply: Coinglass

To date, the one occasions the digital asset has closed the month of August within the inexperienced appears to be like to be throughout bull markets. That is seen in 2017 with a 65.32% enhance, in addition to 2020 and 2021 with constructive returns of two.83% and 13.8%, respectively.

Will September Be Higher?

Traditionally, the month of September has been even worse for the Bitcoin worth in comparison with August. In 11 years, there have been 8 months of detrimental returns in comparison with 3 months of constructive returns. This has introduced the typical month-to-month return for September to -4.78%.

Associated Studying

With August performing so poorly, expectations are that the month of September may go in the wrong way. Nevertheless, not everybody agrees with this standpoint. Crypto analyst @btc_charlie on X (previously Twitter) has warned that September could not go as deliberate.

He factors out that the identical people who find themselves saying that costs will go up are the identical individuals who missed the Bitcoin backside and high. As an alternative, he directs traders to take a look at the typical month-to-month returns for September, that are detrimental, when making their choices.

Bitcoin price chart from Tradingview.com
BTC will get rejected from $61,000 | Supply: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com

Featured picture created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com



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Tags: AugustBitcoincompareddataHeresPerformSeptember
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